Pancreatic cancer is the 7th leading cause of cancer death amongst adults in the US and is associated with 6% 5-year overall survival rate for Stage II cancers (1), declining to 3% for patients with Stage III disease. Surgical resection offers the highest chance for remission, with 5-year survival rates of up to 20% (2-5). Unfortunately, many patients present with disease that is not amenable to potentially curative upfront resection (1). After neoadjuvant therapy, some borderline resectable (BRPC) and locally advanced pancreatic cancers (LAPC) may ultimately undergo a margin negative (R0) resection.
Markers of nutritional status have been predictive of outcomes in gastrointestinal cancers (6-8). Specifically, body mass index (BMI) has been widely evaluated due to its ability to normalize for patient height (9-14). Another metric, body surface area (BSA), has been incorporated clinically to personalize chemotherapeutic doses based on patient size and visceral fat content (15-17). A relatively new metric, total psoas area (TPA), has shown promise as an additional proxy for nutritional status; specifically, low TPA, or sarcopenia, has been used in place of deficient nutritional status in gastrointestinal cancers (18,19).
Previous studies investigated the association between pre-operative and post-operative TPA with outcomes in patients with pancreatic cancer (19-25). However, none have examined TPA prior to neoadjuvant therapy. Furthermore, none have focused on morbidity and mortality outcomes of neoadjuvant radiation therapy, whether standard dose or high dose per fraction, in patients treated for pancreatic cancer.
The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether pre-treatment TPA, in contrast to traditional measures of nutritional status, like BMI and BSA, correlates with outcomes in BRPC and LAPC patients receiving stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT).
After obtaining institutional review board (IRB) approval, a retrospective review of our 222 SBRT pancreatic cancer database yielded 183 patients that met criteria for selection in this study. We included 146 BRPC and 57 LAPC, per National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) criteria. Patient demographic details are summarized in Table 1. Treatment details have been described in our earlier publications (26). In brief, patients were treated per our institution’s pancreatic cancer clinical pathway, which included the initial staging studies of endoscopic ultrasound (EUS), pancreas protocol computed tomography (CT), and positron emission tomography (PET)/CT scan. Most patients received initial gemcitabine-based chemotherapy for 2–3 months followed by a five-fraction dose painted regimen of SBRT, with median of 40 Gy delivered to the region of tumor/vessel abutment. Those receiving conventional fractionation, those with upfront resectable disease or metastatic disease were excluded from this study. Additionally, only patients with lumbar CTs with clearly visible L4 lumbar vertebrae were included.
Nutritional status determination
TPA was calculated by using the pre-treatment planning axial lumbar CTs. We identified the first axial slice of the L4 vertebra after the L3–L4 interspace and contoured the area of the psoas muscle bilaterally using the Pinnacle Treatment Planning System (v9.2-9.8, Philips, Amsterdam, Netherlands). This cross-sectional volume was divided by the thickness of the axial slice to get a cross-sectional area. To normalize for body size, the combined bilateral psoas cross-sectional areas were divided by the height of the patient (27,28).
BMI calculations were performed using the following equation.
BSA calculations were performed using the Mosteller formula (29).
Acute and late radiation toxicities
Acute radiation toxicities were evaluated once during the 5-day course of SBRT by the treating radiation oncologist and subsequently 4–6 weeks after completion when the patient returned for re-staging evaluation or more frequently as needed. Acute radiation toxicities were defined per CTCAE version 4.0 (30-32). Patients were routinely followed in clinic after treatment, and late radiation toxicities were defined as symptoms that occurred 3 months or later post-treatment.
Patient characteristics were analyzed between sarcopenic and non-sarcopenic groups, high and low BMI, and high and low BSA with Pearson Chi-square tests. We used the median TPA in this dataset as a binary cutoff for statistical analysis of survival functions, as is common in the current literature (23,25,33). Further, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were also generated to determine a more sensitive and specific cutoff rather than using arbitrary median values and to validate literature-based values for sarcopenia, BMI, and BSA when examining acute toxicities. Significant ROC binary cutoffs were further evaluated using binomial logistic regression. For multiple variables that were significant, multivariate regression was performed. Sub-group analysis was performed for both gender and patients of advanced age (AA, >75 years old). Statistical significance was set at P<0.05. Overall survival, local progression and local recurrence were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier survival functions. Significance was evaluated with Mantel-Cox log ranks. Significant predictors of survival functions were then further analyzed using multivariate Cox regression. All statistical analysis and figure artwork was performed and generated using SPSS v 220.127.116.11 (IBM, Armonk, NY, USA).
Patient characteristics were compared by their sarcopenic status (binary cutoff at median TPA of 533), median BMI (24.5), and median BSA (1.79). We found that using a binary cutoff at the median age  was not a significant predictor of TPA. While this specific age cutoff did not correlate with BMI, patients of AA were 2.8 times more likely to be sarcopenic (P=0.008) and were 2.9 times more likely to have a lower BSA (P=0.008) than their younger counterparts. 36.2% of patients younger than 75 were sarcopenic, with a median TPA of 553, while the majority 68.1% of patients older than 75 were sarcopenic, with a median TPA of 458.
Women were found to have significantly lower TPA (P<0.001) and BSA (P<0.001) than men, but BMI was not correlated with gender (Table 1). With a median TPA of 466 and 585, respectively, 58.1% of women and 25.1% of men were sarcopenic. Most tumors  were in the head of the pancreas, with only 30 in the body and 1 in the tail. This cohort consisted entirely of borderline resectable or locally advanced tumors. When stratified by BSA, there were a significantly higher number of patients with stage T4 cancers in the lower BSA group (P=0.01). In addition, patients with low BSA were also more likely to be of a higher AJCC stage (P=0.018) and locally advanced (P=0.008). This significance was not found in either the TPA or BMI groups.
Acute and late radiation toxicities
We generated binary cutoffs with ROC curves to obtain a cohort-specific value for acute toxicities. Our ROC curve predicted that a cutoff of 497 would give the highest combination of sensitivity (49.5%) and specificity (75%) in predicting radiation toxicities (AUC =0.590, P=0.040). Therefore, for analyses of radiation toxicities, we defined sarcopenia as a TPA <497. Based on this cutoff, our binomial logistic regression model predicted that patients with a low TPA had a 2.55 higher likelihood of developing acute radiation toxicities (P=0.004). Sub-group analysis in patients of AA did not show increased radiotoxicities with either a high or low TPA. Rather, only patients younger than 75 with a low TPA were 2.7 times more likely to develop acute radiotherapy complications (Table 2, P=0.002). Sub-group analysis with gender indicated that in males, TPA was not a significant predictor of complications. However, females with a low TPA were 3.8 times more likely than females with a high TPA to develop complications (Table 3, P=0.004).
ROC curves generated for BMI were not statistically significant. We continued to use the median BMI as a cutoff for high and low BMI when analyzing acute radiation toxicities. ROC curves for BSA maximized the sensitivity (62.2%) and specificity (52.8%) at a binary cutoff of 1.84 (AUC =0.598, P=0.025). Subsequently, our regression model using this cutoff predicted a 1.84 higher likelihood of developing acute radiation toxicities in patients with a lower BSA (P=0.048). Therefore, for analyses of radiation toxicities, we defined low BSA as <1.84.
We compared our cohort-specific ROC-derived definition of sarcopenia to the median cutoff and found similar results where non-sarcopenic patients were twice as likely to report no acute radiation toxicities (P=0.019). Therefore, we elected to use the ROC-derived sarcopenic cutoff due to its increased specificity. BMI was not able to predict radiation toxicities, but BSA was (P=0.048). In addition, sarcopenic patients were significantly more likely to develop grade 3 or higher acute radiation toxicities than non-sarcopenic patients (P=0.007).
In the sarcopenic group, patients experienced significantly more acute radiation toxicities, of any grade, than their non-sarcopenic counterparts (P=0.003). 73.3% of sarcopenic patients experienced some form of radiation toxicity, compared to 51.9% of non-sarcopenic patients (Table 4). Specifically, they experienced more pain (21.3% vs. 6.5%, P=0.003), fatigue (41.3% vs. 26.9%, P=0.040), and nausea (30.7% vs. 17.6%, P=0.039). Specific breakdowns of individually graded complications are listed in Table S1. There were no significant differences in TPA, BMI, or BSA in developing late onset radiation toxicities.
Even with gender or age stratification, no proxy for nutritional status was a significant predictor of overall survival, local progression, or local recurrence. However, patients presenting with LAPC were associated with worse overall survival than BRPC patients (P=0.002). They had a median survival of 14.1 months, while their BRPC counterparts had a median survival of 18.4 months. Similarly, clinical AJCC Stage was predictive of overall survival (P=0.005). Stage III patients had a median survival of 14.1 months, while Stage IIB had a median survival of 16.6 months and Stage IIA patients had a median survival of 21.1 months. Stage II (IIA and IIB) patients, as a cohort, had a median survival of 18.4 months. When compared to Stage III patients, they survived significantly longer (P=0.001). Due to the high collinearity of AJCC stage and upfront resectability, multivariate Cox regression was not performed.
In our study, we used pre-treatment planning CTs to evaluate the association between skeletal muscle radiographic features and acute complications in patients with BRPC and LAPC. While multiple studies have attempted to validate a clinically relevant TPA cutoff, the difficulty lies in producing large scale studies with a population relevant value. The next best option is to use data from multiple studies using percentile based summative values. The literature currently uses a plethora of cohort-specific values, including using the lowest median, tertile, quartile, quintile, or standard deviation (19-21,23,24,27,28,33-38) in the study cohort. We validated our cohort’s cutoff, by performing ROC curve analysis with regards to acute radiotoxicities which correlates to approximately a TPA of 500. Unfortunately, time-dependent ROC curves have yet to be a viable and reproducible method of creating a binary cutoff for survival functions (39). Ideally, a programmable function in a commercially available statistics program would encompass a time-dependent ROC function since Kaplan-Meier curves are used so commonly in clinical research. Currently, the best method involves using either cohort-specific cutoffs or arbitrary cutoffs validated in the literature.
TPA and BSA were found to be significantly lower in elderly females in this study and subsequent calculations were performed using sub-group analysis controlling for gender and age. Our findings echo the current literature, as young, male patients were found to have higher muscle mass than elderly female patients (21,24,29). Previous authors have identified age-dependent, or primary, sarcopenia as a confounder in studies focused on sarcopenia secondary to cancer, like ours. Age-dependent sarcopenia had to be effectively isolated as a confounder since it is highly prevalent in the elderly population, specifically in patients of AA (21). Interestingly, our cohort had 34 patients over the age of 75, yet despite a higher rate of sarcopenia in this group, TPA was not a significant predictor of acute complications. One interpretation and explanation reinforces the concept that patients with sarcopenia secondary to cachexic processes are more likely to develop acute radiotoxic complications. Otherwise, TPA should have continued to be predictive of complications as age increases. In patients younger than 75, there was a 36.2% incidence of sarcopenia. In this group, sarcopenic patients were 2.68 times more likely to develop acute radiotoxic complications than their counterparts (P=0.008). In contrast, there was a 61.8% incidence of sarcopenia in patients of AA. The nearly two-fold increase in the incidence of sarcopenia in our elderly cohort can be attributed to either the emergence of primary sarcopenia or the development of secondary sarcopenia. We are limited in determining a definitive etiology in these patients given the retrospective nature of the study and can only hypothesize, as we could not measure serum cytokine levels or assess each patient’s inflammatory state. However, we expect a lower proportion of age-dependent sarcopenia and a higher proportion of sarcopenia secondary to a pathologic process of malignancy in our younger patients. For the clinician, the specificity of sarcopenia status decreases significantly in the elderly, but that should not downplay its sensitivity in detecting which patients may need additional interventions.
Additional sub-group analysis with gender showed that sarcopenic females were almost 4 times more likely to develop acute complications than non-sarcopenic females. Conversely, sarcopenic males were not nearly so affected. This gender specific attribute may provide additional insight into the pathophysiological process of secondary sarcopenia. Current research suggests that a pro-inflammatory state is mediated by release of cytokines like IL-6 (40-44). Well-known for their anabolic effects and utility in other muscle wasting states like HIV, androgens may also contribute to the gender differences seen in TPAs via multiple mechanisms (45-49). Postmenopausal females may be particularly predisposed to sarcopenia due to the absence of the anabolic effects of circulating testosterone in addition to losing the anti-inflammatory effects of estrogen. Estrogen has been shown to have anti-inflammatory properties and men continue to aromatize estrogen so long as they have circulating testosterone (50-59). In our study, we did not have data on whether our post-menopausal patients were on estrogen replacement therapy (ERT) and future studies are needed to compare the rate of sarcopenia and complications in this patient group. However, our findings suggest that clinicians should pay special attention to women with low muscle mass, as they may require earlier intervention than other patients. In this study, we were unable to assess baseline TPA prior to systemic chemotherapy administration, thus we cannot conclude if there was a significant change prior to the time point of our study which was defined as the TPA measured from the SBRT treatment planning CT after the completion of neoadjuvant systemic therapy.
TPA was significantly higher in young males, as was expected due to the gender and age difference (21,24). However, even after sub-group analysis was performed, neither TPA, BMI, nor BSA were significant predictors of overall survival. While TPA and BSA could significantly predict the development of acute radiation complications, BMI could not. BMI has been found to be a useful metric in outcomes related to obesity, and rarely has it found usefulness for low BMI (24,60). When dealing with a patient population that is generally underweight, we found no significant role for BMI regarding our selected outcomes.
Current best practice guidelines indicate that BRPC and LAPC can be managed with initial neoadjuvant therapy, as surgical resection remains the highest chance of survival for the patient (61-63). While our study did not find a significant association between proxies of nutritional status prior to neoadjuvant SBRT therapy and mortality, we found that it was associated with significant morbidity. As neoadjuvant therapy regimens containing SBRT will likely continue to be a component in BRPC/LAPC treatment pending completion of ongoing trials, the timely management of morbidities associated with radiation therapy remain important to optimize the patient’s status prior to potential surgery.
In the last decade, pancreatic SBRT has evolved significantly since the first single-fraction phase I dose escalation studies. From the Stanford study, which reported no patients with grade 3 or higher acute toxicity (64) and the 45 Gy in 3-fraction Danish study reporting acute toxicity of 79% grade 2 and 4.5% grade 4 (65), review of the various techniques have indeed shown the importance of dosimetric and treatment planning factors to limit acute morbidity, suggesting that multiple fraction regimens, smaller target volumes, and accounting for respiratory-associated tumor motion can decrease toxicity (66). Integrating these advances, a recent prospective, multi-institutional trial for patients with LAPC utilizing a 5-fraction regimen of 33 Gy reported rates of grade ≥2 gastritis, fistula, enteritis, and ulcer to be 2% (67). Furthermore, rates of resection among BRPC and LAPC patients are increasing, with 21.6% of patients (79% of whom were LAPC) in a series from Johns Hopkins undergoing resection and 51% of BRPC/24% of LAPC treated at Moffitt with induction FOLFIRINOX (leucovorin, fluorouracil, irinotecan, oxaliplatin) undergoing surgery (26,68). Integration of more active systemic therapies such as mFOLFIRINOX (neoadjuvant modified FOLFIRINOX) with SBRT is now being tested, with early data from a phase I trial using a strategy of 30–36 Gy in 3 fractions to the whole target and a focal 9 Gy integrated boost to the tumor/vessel interface showing no acute grade 3 or 4 complications and a median survival not yet reached (69). As the investigation into the optimal neoadjuvant systemic therapy agents, SBRT dosing, and treatment sequencing continues, more emphasis will continue to be placed on preparing patients for surgery to achieve an R0 resection.
Outcome results in this analysis indicate that the median difference in survival in BRPC and LAPC patients is separated by a mere six months, like other findings in the current literature (35,70,71). Our study specifically included patients with only borderline resectable and locally advanced disease, which correlates with IIA, IIB, and III AJCC stages. In our results, having Stage III disease was the most significant predictor of overall survival. This also concurs with the current literature that even in patients with clinically evident cachexia, secondary sarcopenia, or decreased visceral fat adiposity, survival is contingent on whether they proceed to resection (21,72-75), which is uncertain in these BRPC and LAPC patient populations.
The utility of TPA finds its niche in predicting which patients might develop short-term radiation complications. Clinicians should be cautious to evaluate female patients with a low TPA since they are more likely to need additional nutritional supplementation, pain control or anti-emetics during their neoadjuvant treatment to avoid discontinuation of therapy due to complications. Future research should evaluate the effectiveness of strategies to incorporate such supportive measures as part of the preoperative conditioning regimen. With neoadjuvant intent to facilitate margin negative resection, avoiding grade 3 or higher acute complications is important to prevent unnecessary delay of attempted surgery. In addition to optimizing nutrition, future work is needed to determine whether adding a strength training regimen to the 3–6 months period leading up to potential surgery in sarcopenic patients could improve outcomes.
Knowing whether low muscle mass, from a single snapshot in time, or a loss of muscle mass, viewed as a longitudinal process, predicts acute radiotoxic complications better remains to be seen, as we were limited by the retrospective nature of this study. However, our results indicate that sarcopenia at the time of SBRT planning is a strong predictor for acute complications after SBRT. Previous studies have shown that weight loss could be a more reliable metric of frailty than radiographic measures and should also be examined in future studies (21).
Additionally, Amini et al. found that perioperative total psoas volume was a more accurate predictor of morbidity and mortality following pancreaticoduodenectomy, specifically post-operative complications and overall survival (20). This questions the utility of a single axial slice and its trade-off with prognostic efficiency for accuracy and future analysis can determine if this significant difference is seen in neoadjuvant therapy as well. If possible, total psoas volume in comparison to TPA as a metric for sarcopenia should be explored too. Finally, while evaluation of chemotherapy complications in the months preceding SBRT was outside the scope of this project, it should be integrated in future analyses to provide a composite of the totality of neoadjuvant patient factors.
Pre-neoadjuvant SBRT sarcopenic status was not found to be a significant predictor of overall survival in BRPC or LAPC patients. The most useful predictors of survival in pancreatic cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy prior to surgery are still tumor resectability or clinical AJCC stage. However, we found that sarcopenia is a robust proxy for deficient nutritional status and the development of high grade acute radiation toxicities. Even more so in females, these complications can and should be managed by a well-trained clinician to improve the likelihood of such patients maintaining fitness for attempted surgical resection without delay. Using a TPA of 500 mm2/m2, as a proxy for sarcopenia, is a reasonable, non-arbitrary cutoff for predicting which borderline resectable or LAPC patients may need more aggressive nutritional supplementation, anti-emetics, or appetite stimulants during their neoadjuvant treatment. This study is the first to examine patient specific factors immediately preceding SBRT with the intention of potential enhancement of margin negative resection. Future studies are needed to determine which conditioning regimens may be best to optimize sarcopenic patients for eventual surgery and whether more conservative constraints for the GI mucosa adjacent to the tumor target in this patient group may be necessary to further decrease acute grade 3+ complications.
Conflicts of Interest: The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.
Ethical Statement: The study was approved by institutional review board of University of South Florida (No. # Pro00003382) and informed consent was taken from all the patients.
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